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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-07-22T14:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-07-22T14:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17376/-1
CME Note: Visible in the west in SOHO LASCO/C2, STEREO A COR2. May be associated with an eruption from AR 12848 (N20E08), visible in SDO AIA 304/193/171 beginning 2021-07-22T12:10Z, followed by EUV wave indicating a more southwestward ejection. Arrival indicated by weak but sudden increase in field amplitude, accompanied by speed increase and field component rotation. Preceded by brief pileup and temperature increase. Indicates a far flank arrival with flux rope only. This is a weak CME arrival, perhaps combined with a weak HSS arrival, with no candidate CH other than the patchy equatorial bit around W50.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-07-25T18:50Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-26T07:15Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 27.03 hour(s)
Difference: -12.42 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-07-24T15:48Z

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